Thursday, November 6, 2008

And so it ends...

Once again, a very predictable result coming out of New Mexico on election night. Senator Barack Obama took the state 57% to John McCain's 42% with 100% of precincts reporting according to Real Clear Politics.

The Democrats also swept the four congressional seats up for grabs in New Mexico; the state will be sending three new representatives to the House and new Democrat Tom Udall to the Senate. Now Senator Udall was previously a Federal Representative before moving to the Senate Chamber. Three other Democrats; Martin Hinrich of Albuquerque, Harry Teague of Hobbs, and Ben Ray Lujan also won their House races on Tuesday.

According to Silver City Sun News this will be the first time in forty years that the Democrats will have made up the entire congressional delegation in New Mexico. The state also currently has a Democratic governor and their party controls both houses of the legislature in the state. The GOP has a lot to recover in the state over the next few years.

It may be safe to call New Mexico a solidly blue state from now on.

Sunday, November 2, 2008

1-day to go!!!!

For a state that people originally thought would be a state to watch this election, New Mexico has really been quite dull these last few weeks.

A lot is made of Hispanic voters this election, and a lot more about John McCain's lack of a campaign in a state many believe he had a chance to win this election due to New Mexican voters typically conservative values. However you look at it though, there really isn't much question anymore about who's going to win the state and McCain's campaign staffers (the few he ever had here in the first place) have all but abandoned the historically swing state of New Mexico.

With Governor Bill Richardson hot on the campaign trail, New Mexican voters surprising affinity for Senator Obama, every poll, and various other reasons mentioned above or in previous blogs, I think I can safely say New Mexico's five little electoral votes will be going with the blue this election and will help Senator Obama along in what looks to be an almost certain national victory for the law professor from Chicago. Who would have thought?

Thursday, October 30, 2008

Lawsuits already?

I guess its not even a surprise anymore when elections are followed by massive lawsuits, the loser always doing anything and everything in his/her power to contest the winner's results.

According to the Wall Street Journal however, the number of lawsuits challenging election procedures could hit an all-time high this year. The majority of these lawsuits are being filed by the Republican party and individual voters in big battleground states such as New Mexico.

The article states that the cases being brought before the courts may not mean anything if Obama wins the country by the margin predicted, but if it's close and it ends up coming down to a couple of states, all of these legal battles could end up making a difference. Should be an interesting couple of days after the election is over and counted.

Obama's Campaign in New Mexico

It is pretty safe to say that Obama's campaign has literally smashed McCain's "campaign" in New Mexico. In a recent article on gather.com, a columnist talks about the lack of Republican campaigning in New Mexico in general, but especially in the small towns.

Its almost like these last couple of weeks have seen McCain in a last ditch effort to try and win the state after he realized he was going to need it to win, only, it was probably already too late. It seems silly to almost entirely abandon a state that voted Bush into office in 2004, but I guess there's a lot of things that seem silly about McCain's campaign.

One things for sure, New Mexico is important, and come election night as the votes are being tallied, people will be looking towards New Mexico to see which way she'll go. I'm not sure how much of a contest it will be though.

Sunday, October 26, 2008

Once again...

In a recent Los Angeles Times article, the importance of the Hispanic vote is once again addressed. Obviously this is especially applicable to New Mexico...

Campaigning Away

It never stops, at least that's how I feel and I'm sure Obama and McCain are thinking something along the same lines.

Yesterday Obama was back in New Mexico, campaigning and trying to insure a vote that increasingly looks like it is, the Hispanic vote. About 45,000 supporters showed up at a rally at the University of New Mexico in Albuquerque where Obama talked more about his tax cuts for 95% of Americans and assuring his audience he would focus all his energy on the middle class.

McCain also spent some time in New Mexico yesterday as well as a few quick stops in Texas, where he looks to be ahead but where polls also show his popularity is decreasing. In his stump speeches throughout the Southwest region McCain attempted to push the fact that Obama has never been South of the border and that he, McCain, understood the issues that are important here at a level Obama does not.

Its push time for both candidates now, but they are not done yet.

Thursday, October 23, 2008

10 days to go!

Its hard to believe there's only ten days left until the big day. Everything is sealing up and most states are growing more and more predictable, New Mexico included.
We were all a little surprised when news came earlier this week that announced McCain was abandoning important "swing" states such as New Mexico and Colorado. His campaigns in some states, such as Colorado, have fought back against this news, saying they are not abandoning their state just yet, but a similar backlash in New Mexico has not been seen.
I've posted before about McCain's almost complete lack of a presence in the state and with the removal of his campaign, its pretty clear McCain has faced up to reality and conceded the state I'm not sure he ever really had a chance of winning this election, despite the state's conservative politics and Republican voting history.
According to Pollster.com the Democratic senator Barack Obama leads McCain in the polls 50.4% to McCain's 43.9%.
In several recent studies the issue is said to be McCain's unpopularity with Hispanic voters, due in part, according to a recent New York Times article, to the issues turning other voters away from McCain, things like the faltering economy. Obviously in New Mexico this is a group of voters someone wanting to win the state cannot afford to alienate.
Although it appears to be over, the Republicans surprisingly are not giving up. John McCain is actually making two campaign stops in the state this week, in what seems to be a last ditch attempt to try to win in a state that helped carry George Bush to victory in 2004.
Its close, there's no denying that, and despite rumors of ditching the state and no ready response from the Republicans, McCain is still here, and he's not finished yet. Despite that however, with ten days to go until election day, I would have to say the state's votes will most likely go to Obama, it appears to me that McCain is trying to pick up some votes in a state he lost a long time ago.